Championship · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
Morton
PWR 35
Ayr Utd
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Morton
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)3-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ayr Utd
DLDLL
STABLE
Morton
DLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk38%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 93% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
Ayr Utdvs
0.82
MortonGoal Probability
Ayr Utd
0
2%
1
8%
2
16%
3
20%
4
20%
Morton
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (10%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Ayr Utd+3
Gap#8
Morton
WR 25% 34 pts
WR 14% 30 pts
Ayr Utd
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Ayr Utd v Queen's… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Ayr Utd v Queen's… | 1-2 |
| Mar 03 | Ayr Utd v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-1 |
| Feb 24 | Ayr Utd v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Ayr Utd v Ross Co… | 0-0 |
| Feb 17 | Ayr Utd v ST John… | 3-3 |
| Jan 31 | Ayr Utd v Raith R… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | Ayr Utd v Partick | 2-1 |
| Jan 17 | Ayr Utd v Dundee … | 2-0 |
Morton
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Morton v Partick | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Morton v ST John… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Morton v Airdrie… | 3-1 |
| Feb 21 | Morton v Queen's… | 3-2 |
| Feb 17 | Morton v Dunferm… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Morton v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Morton v Ross Co… | 2-1 |
| Jan 23 | Morton v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Morton v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
| Jan 03 | Morton v Partick | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Morton | 1-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ayr Utd | 2-1 | Morton |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Morton | 2-2 | Ayr Utd |
| Mar 08, 2025 | Morton | 2-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 0-0 | Morton |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 2-0 | Morton |
| Nov 08, 2024 | Morton | 1-1 | Ayr Utd |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 1-0 | Morton |
| Apr 09, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 1-1 | Morton |
| Jan 02, 2024 | Morton | 3-0 | Ayr Utd |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
58%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Ayr Utd struggling (3L in last 5)
Morton struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.