Premier Division · Mar 20, 2026 19:45
Derry City
PWR 0
Drogheda United
PWR 35
Derry City
PWR 0
VS
Drogheda United
PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Derry City Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)2-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
70%
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 66%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Derry City
DLLWL
STABLE
Drogheda United
DLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.85
Derry Cityvs
1.19
Drogheda UnitedGoal Probability
Derry City
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
16%
Drogheda Un…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)0-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Derry City+1
Gap#7
Drogheda Un…
WR 40% 7 pts
WR 25% 7 pts
Derry City
6.0%
| Mar 16 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Derry C… v Shelbou… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Derry C… v Shamroc… | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Derry C… v Waterfo… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Derry C… v Bohemia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Derry C… v Dundalk | 2-2 |
| Feb 06 | Derry C… v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 2-2 |
| Jun 23 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 0-1 |
| May 05 | Derry C… v St Patr… | 1-0 |
Drogheda United
4.0%
| Mar 16 | Droghed… v Shamroc… | 0-0 |
| Mar 13 | Droghed… v St Patr… | 4-1 |
| Mar 07 | Droghed… v Sligo R… | 2-1 |
| Feb 27 | Droghed… v Shelbou… | 1-2 |
| Feb 20 | Droghed… v Dundalk | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Droghed… v Waterfo… | 2-0 |
| Feb 06 | Droghed… v Galway … | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Droghed… v Bray Wa… | 1-3 |
| Nov 01 | Droghed… v Bohemia… | 1-4 |
| Oct 24 | Droghed… v Galway … | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
56%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Derry City struggling (3L in last 5)
Drogheda United struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.