Championship · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Southampton
PWR 36
Oxford United
PWR 30
Southampton
PWR 36
3-1
predicted
Oxford United
PWR 30
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Southampton Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (13%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
43Attack28
59Defense59
Goals/G
1.40.9
Conc/G
1.41.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Southampton
WDWWD
STABLE
Oxford United
DWWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTHOME_STREAKPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 35% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Southamptonvs
0.42
Oxford UnitedGoal Probability
Southampton
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Oxford Unit…
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)4-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Southampton+15
Gap#22
Oxford Unit…
WR 47% 57 pts
WR 21% 39 pts
Southampton
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Southam… v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Southam… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Southam… v QPR | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Southam… v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Southam… v Leicest… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | Southam… v Leicest… | 3-4 |
| Feb 07 | Southam… v Watford | 1-0 |
Oxford United
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Oxford … v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Mar 11 | Oxford … v Blackbu… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Oxford … v Preston | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Oxford … v West Br… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Oxford … v Stoke C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Oxford … v Middles… | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | Oxford … v Sunderl… | 0-1 |
| Feb 10 | Oxford … v Norwich… | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Oxford … v Coventry | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Oxford … v Sheffie… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Oxford United | 2-1 | Southampton |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
90%
Standings
80%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Oxford United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.