Championship · Mar 21, 2026 17:15
Swansea
PWR 34
Coventry
PWR 45
Swansea
PWR 34
1-1
predicted
Coventry
PWR 45
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (20%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
22%
Team Comparison
34Attack63
63Defense65
Goals/G
1.12.1
Conc/G
1.21.2
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Swansea
LWWLD
STABLE
Coventry
LWWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Swanseavs
0.28
CoventryGoal Probability
Swansea
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Coventry
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 69% | 31% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 43% | 58% | - |
| 3.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Swansea-10
Gap#1
Coventry
WR 53% 52 pts
WR 47% 77 pts
Swansea
10.0%
| Mar 13 | Swansea v Wrexham | 2-0 |
| Mar 10 | Swansea v Portsmo… | 1-2 |
| Mar 07 | Swansea v Stoke C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Swansea v Ipswich | 3-0 |
| Feb 24 | Swansea v Preston | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Swansea v Bristol… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Swansea v Derby | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | Swansea v Sheffie… | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | Swansea v Watford | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Swansea v Hull Ci… | 2-1 |
Coventry
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Coventry v Southam… | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Coventry v Preston | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Coventry v Bristol… | 0-2 |
| Feb 28 | Coventry v Stoke C… | 2-1 |
| Feb 25 | Coventry v Sheffie… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Coventry v West Br… | 0-2 |
| Feb 16 | Coventry v Middles… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Coventry v Oxford … | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Coventry v QPR | 2-1 |
| Jan 26 | Coventry v Norwich… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 26, 2025 | Coventry | 1-0 | Swansea |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Swansea | 0-2 | Coventry |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Coventry | 1-2 | Swansea |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Coventry | 1-2 | Swansea |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Coventry | 2-2 | Swansea |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Coventry | 2-2 | Swansea |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Swansea | 1-1 | Coventry |
| Apr 07, 2023 | Swansea | 0-0 | Coventry |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Coventry | 3-3 | Swansea |
| Mar 05, 2022 | Swansea | 3-1 | Coventry |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Coventry in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.