Primeira Liga · Mar 22, 2026 18:00
Sporting CP
PWR 35
Alverca
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
Sporting CP
PWR 35
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sporting CP Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (19%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 33%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alverca
DDDDD
STABLE
Sporting CP
LDLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 31% at home = very high riskHome team drew 5/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Alvercavs
0.54
Sporting CPGoal Probability
Alverca
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
Sporting CP
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-0 (10%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Alverca-8
Gap#2
Sporting CP
WR 39% 29 pts
WR 69% 62 pts
Alverca
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Alverca v GIL Vic… | 2-2 |
| Mar 07 | Alverca v AVS | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Alverca v Guimara… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Alverca v Santa C… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Alverca v Tondela | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Alverca v Benfica | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Alverca v Estrela… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Alverca v SC Braga | 5-0 |
| Jan 17 | Alverca v Moreire… | 2-1 |
| Jan 04 | Alverca v Famalic… | 1-0 |
Sporting CP
10.0%
| Mar 11 | Sportin… v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Sportin… v SC Braga | 2-2 |
| Mar 04 | Sportin… v Carabob… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 27 | Sportin… v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 25 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 18 | Sportin… v 2 de Ma… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Oct 31, 2025 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | Alverca |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Sporting CP | 5-1 | Alverca |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.