Primeira Liga · Mar 22, 2026 15:30
Estoril
PWR 35
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
Estoril
PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Rio Ave FC
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Estoril Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (10%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Estoril
WDLWL
STABLE
Rio Ave FC
WWDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 38% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskCombined DR 77% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.42
Estorilvs
0.20
Rio Ave FCGoal Probability
Estoril
0
1%
1
5%
2
12%
3
17%
4
19%
Rio Ave FC
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (10%)3-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Estoril+4
Gap#11
Rio Ave FC
WR 46% 37 pts
WR 23% 27 pts
Estoril
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Estoril v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Estoril v Casa Piā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | Estoril v Sportinā¦ | 3-0 |
| Feb 22 | Estoril v GIL Vicā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Estoril v AVS | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Estoril v Tondela | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Estoril v Santa Cā¦ | 2-4 |
| Jan 24 | Estoril v Guimaraā¦ | 4-2 |
| Jan 19 | Estoril v Estrelaā¦ | 0-5 |
| Jan 03 | Estoril v Benfica | 3-1 |
Rio Ave FC
10.0%
| Mar 15 | Rio Aveā¦ v Estrelaā¦ | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Rio Aveā¦ v Tondela | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Rio Aveā¦ v Famalicā¦ | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Rio Aveā¦ v FC Porto | 1-0 |
| Feb 16 | Rio Aveā¦ v Moreireā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Rio Aveā¦ v SC Braga | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Rio Aveā¦ v Arouca | 0-3 |
| Jan 25 | Rio Aveā¦ v Nacional | 4-0 |
| Jan 17 | Rio Aveā¦ v Benfica | 0-2 |
| Jan 04 | Rio Aveā¦ v Casa Piā¦ | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 01, 2025 | Rio Ave FC | 0-4 | Estoril |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Estoril | 2-1 | Rio Ave FC |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 2-2 | Estoril |
| Jan 31, 2024 | Rio Ave FC | 1-1 | Estoril |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
63%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.