Ligue 1 · Mar 18, 2026 21:00
USM Alger
PWR 0
ES SĂ©tif
PWR 35
USM Alger
PWR 0
0-1
predicted
ES SĂ©tif
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: ES SĂ©tif to win (49% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
49%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (26%)2-0 (21%)0-0 (16%)3-0 (11%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
82%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.37x
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
73%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
9%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
0Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
USM Alger
LDDLD
STABLE
ES SĂ©tif
LWWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Odds data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
USM Algervs
0.20
ES SĂ©tifGoal Probability
USM Alger
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
ES SĂ©tif
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (19%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 2.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
USM Alger+1
Gap#13
ES SĂ©tif
WR 22% 26 pts
WR 9% 26 pts
USM Alger
6.0%
| Mar 15 | USM Alg… v Maniema… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | USM Alg… v CS Cons… | 0-0 |
| Feb 27 | USM Alg… v El Baya… | 0-0 |
| Feb 21 | USM Alg… v JS Saou… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | USM Alg… v Olympiq… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | USM Alg… v San-Péd… | 2-3 |
| Feb 01 | USM Alg… v Djoliba… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | USM Alg… v Djoliba… | 2-0 |
| Jan 08 | USM Alg… v MC Oran | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | USM Alg… v Oued Ak… | 1-1 |
ES SĂ©tif
10.0%
| Mar 06 | ES Sétif v ASO Chl… | 1-0 |
| Feb 28 | ES Sétif v Mostaga… | 3-0 |
| Feb 20 | ES Sétif v MB Roui… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | ES Sétif v CS Cons… | 2-0 |
| Feb 08 | ES Sétif v El Baya… | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | ES Sétif v JS Saou… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | ES Sétif v Khenche… | 4-1 |
| Jan 16 | ES Sétif v CS Cons… | 2-1 |
| Jan 08 | ES Sétif v Paradou… | 2-2 |
| Dec 29 | ES SĂ©tif v MC Alger | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 29, 2025 | ES SĂ©tif | 1-3 | USM Alger |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
55%
Market
54%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.