Liga de Ascenso · Mar 22, 2026 21:00
CS Uruguay
PWR 35
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
CS Uruguay
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: CS Uruguay to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
76%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (11%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
56%
56%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
CS Uruguay
LLDWL
DOWN
AD Carmelita
DLWLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga de Ascenso
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
CS Uruguayvs
0.45
AD CarmelitaGoal Probability
CS Uruguay
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
AD Carmelita
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)4-0 (8%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
CS Uruguay+6
Gap#8
AD Carmelita
WR 60% 17 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
CS Uruguay
6.0%
| Mar 15 | CS Urug… v Santa A… | 5-3 |
| Mar 10 | CS Urug… v Aserri … | 1-0 |
| Mar 04 | CS Urug… v Cariari… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | CS Urug… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | CS Urug… v Pitbull… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | CS Urug… v Escorpi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 07 | CS Urug… v AD Carm… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | CS Urug… v Santa A… | 4-1 |
| Jan 30 | CS Urug… v Futbol … | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | CS Urug… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
AD Carmelita
6.0%
| Mar 16 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AD Carm… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | AD Carm… v Deporti… | 6-0 |
| Feb 02 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 07, 2026 | AD Carmelita | 0-1 | CS Uruguay |
| Oct 24, 2025 | AD Carmelita | 1-1 | CS Uruguay |
| Sep 07, 2025 | CS Uruguay | 2-1 | AD Carmelita |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
CS Uruguay struggling (3L in last 5)
AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.