Victoria NPL · Mar 21, 2026 08:00
Dandenong Thunder SC
PWR 35
Melbourne City
PWR 65
Dandenong Thunder SC
PWR 35
1-3
predicted
Melbourne City
PWR 65
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Melbourne City Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (38%)0-1 (26%)1-0 (11%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
8%
Under 2.5
92%
92%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack64
100Defense67
Goals/G
0.01.8
Conc/G
0.00.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dandenong Thun…
LLLLD
DOWN
Melbourne City
DWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 33% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Dandenong Thun…vs
0.68
Melbourne CityGoal Probability
Dandenong T…
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Melbourne C…
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (16%)0-1 (15%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (14%)0-2 (7%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Dandenong T…-6
Gap#1
Melbourne C…
WR 33% 29 pts
WR 65% 67 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Thu… | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 48 | 29 |
| Melbourne City | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 67 |
Dandenong Thun…
2.0%
| Mar 14 | Dandeno… v Hume Ci… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Dandeno… v Avondale | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Dandeno… v Sunshin… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Dandeno… v Heidelb… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Dandeno… v Melbour… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Dandeno… v Dandeno… | 0-1 |
| Aug 23 | Dandeno… v Preston… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Dandeno… v St. Alb… | 1-5 |
| Jun 28 | Dandeno… v Avondale | 1-1 |
| Jun 13 | Dandeno… v Heidelb… | 2-0 |
Melbourne City
12.0%
| Mar 10 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Melbour… v Bentlei… | 1-0 |
| Mar 03 | Melbour… v Buriram… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Altona … | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Melbour… v Auckland | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Melbour… | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | Melbour… v Aucklan… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Melbour… v Hume Ci… | 1-2 |
| Feb 18 | Melbour… v Gangwon… | 0-0 |
| Feb 14 | Melbour… v Avondale | 0-2 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dandenong Thunder SC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.