La Liga · Mar 21, 2026 13:00

Elche
PWR 34

Mallorca
PWR 0

Elche
PWR 34
2-1
predicted

Mallorca
PWR 0
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Elche Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
60%
60%
Team Comparison
41Attack0
56Defense0
Goals/G
1.40.0
Conc/G
1.54.0
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Elche
LLDLD
DOWN
Mallorca
WDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 50% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/5 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 71% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (34.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.03
Elchevs
0.56
MallorcaGoal Probability
Elche
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Mallorca
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Elche-2
Gap#16
Mallorca
WR 36% 26 pts
WR 7% 28 pts
Elche
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Elche v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Mar 08 | Elche v Villarr… | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Elche v Espanyol | 2-2 |
| Feb 20 | Elche v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Elche v Osasuna | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Elche v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Elche v Barcelo… | 1-3 |
| Jan 23 | Elche v Levante | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Elche v Sevilla… | 2-2 |
| Jan 14 | Elche v Real Be… | 2-1 |
Mallorca
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Mallorca v Espanyol | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Mallorca v Osasuna | 2-2 |
| Feb 28 | Mallorca v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Mallorca v Celta d… | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Mallorca v Real Be… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Mallorca v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
| Feb 02 | Mallorca v Sevilla… | 4-1 |
| Jan 25 | Mallorca v Atlétic… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | Mallorca v Athleti… | 3-2 |
| Jan 11 | Mallorca v Rayo Va… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Mallorca | 3-1 | Elche |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Mallorca | 0-1 | Elche |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Elche | 1-1 | Mallorca |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Elche | 3-0 | Mallorca |
| Nov 07, 2021 | Mallorca | 2-2 | Elche |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Elche struggling (3L in last 5)
Mallorca struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.