La Liga · Mar 21, 2026 17:30
Osasuna
PWR 35
Girona
PWR 28
Osasuna
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Girona
PWR 28
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Osasuna Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 60%
Over 3.5
32%
Team Comparison
35Attack29
63Defense51
Goals/G
1.21.0
Conc/G
1.21.6
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Osasuna
LDLWD
STABLE
Girona
WDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 31% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 74% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (33.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Osasunavs
1.12
GironaGoal Probability
Osasuna
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Girona
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Osasuna+1
Gap#12
Girona
WR 54% 34 pts
WR 21% 34 pts
Osasuna
8.0%
| Mar 15 | Osasuna v Real So… | 3-1 |
| Mar 07 | Osasuna v Mallorca | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Osasuna v Valencia | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Osasuna v Real Ma… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Osasuna v Elche | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Osasuna v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | Osasuna v Villarr… | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Osasuna v Rayo Va… | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Osasuna v Oviedo | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Osasuna v Real So… | 2-2 |
Girona
12.0%
| Mar 14 | Girona v Athleti… | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Girona v Levante | 1-1 |
| Mar 01 | Girona v Celta d… | 1-2 |
| Feb 23 | Girona v Alavés | 2-2 |
| Feb 16 | Girona v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Girona v Sevilla… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Girona v Oviedo | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Girona v Getafe | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Girona v Espanyol | 0-2 |
| Jan 10 | Girona v Osasuna | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 10, 2026 | Girona | 1-0 | Osasuna |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Osasuna | 2-1 | Girona |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Girona | 4-0 | Osasuna |
| Aug 29, 2024 | Girona | 4-0 | Osasuna |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Girona | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Mar 09, 2024 | Girona | 2-0 | Osasuna |
| Nov 04, 2023 | Osasuna | 2-4 | Girona |
| Jun 04, 2023 | Osasuna | 2-1 | Girona |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Girona | 1-1 | Osasuna |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Girona | 1-1 | Osasuna |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.