League Two · Mar 21, 2026 15:00
Accrington ST
PWR 37
Chesterfield
PWR 38
Accrington ST
PWR 37
1-1
predicted
Chesterfield
PWR 38
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (11%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No 49%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
36Attack48
68Defense60
Goals/G
1.21.6
Conc/G
1.11.3
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Accrington ST
DDLLL
STABLE
Chesterfield
WLWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): League Two
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Accrington STvs
1.17
ChesterfieldGoal Probability
Accrington …
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Chesterfield
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#15
Accrington …-8
Gap#7
Chesterfield
WR 44% 48 pts
WR 37% 59 pts
Accrington ST
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Accring… v Barrow | 0-0 |
| Mar 07 | Accring… v Cambrid… | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | Accring… v Bromley | 2-1 |
| Feb 24 | Accring… v Barnet | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Accring… v Shrewsb… | 0-2 |
| Feb 17 | Accring… v Tranmer… | 0-1 |
| Feb 11 | Accring… v Grimsby | 1-0 |
| Feb 05 | Accring… v Salford… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Accring… v Chelten… | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Accring… v Newport… | 1-4 |
Chesterfield
10.0%
| Mar 14 | Chester… v Notts C… | 2-3 |
| Mar 07 | Chester… v Shrewsb… | 2-3 |
| Mar 03 | Chester… v Colches… | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Chester… v Barnet | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Chester… v Crawley… | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | Chester… v Gilling… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Chester… v Harroga… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | Chester… v Bristol… | 2-3 |
| Jan 31 | Chester… v Walsall | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Chester… v Salford… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Chesterfield | 3-3 | Accrington ST |
| May 03, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| May 03, 2025 | Accrington ST | 0-1 | Chesterfield |
| Nov 09, 2024 | Chesterfield | 0-3 | Accrington ST |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Accrington ST struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.