Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 14:15
Tottenham
PWR 36
Nottingham Forest
PWR 30
Tottenham
PWR 36
1-0
predicted
Nottingham Forest
PWR 30
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Tottenham to win (60% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-3 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (5%)2-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)3-2 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
76%
76%
Under 2.5
24%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 83%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
44Attack30
59Defense56
Goals/G
1.51.0
Conc/G
1.41.5
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Tottenham
DLLLL
STABLE
Nottingham For…
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Tottenhamvs
3.35
Nottingham For…Goal Probability
Tottenham
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Nottingham …
0
4%
1
12%
2
20%
3
22%
4
18%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
Tottenham+1
Gap#17
Nottingham …
WR 13% 30 pts
WR 27% 29 pts
Tottenham
2.0%
| Mar 15 | Tottenh… v Liverpo… | 1-1 |
| Mar 10 | Tottenh… v Atlétic… | 5-2 |
| Mar 05 | Tottenh… v Crystal… | 1-3 |
| Mar 01 | Tottenh… v Fulham | 2-1 |
| Feb 22 | Tottenh… v Arsenal | 1-4 |
| Feb 10 | Tottenh… v Newcast… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Tottenh… v Manches… | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Tottenh… v Manches… | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Tottenh… v Eintrac… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Tottenh… v Burnley | 2-2 |
Nottingham For…
4.0%
| Mar 15 | Notting… v Fulham | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | Notting… v FC Midt… | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Notting… v Manches… | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Notting… v Brighton | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | Notting… v Fenerba… | 1-2 |
| Feb 22 | Notting… v Liverpo… | 0-1 |
| Feb 19 | Notting… v Fenerba… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Notting… v Wolves | 0-0 |
| Feb 06 | Notting… v Leeds | 3-1 |
| Feb 01 | Notting… v Crystal… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 14, 2025 | Nottingham Fo… | 3-0 | Tottenham |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Tottenham | 1-2 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Nottingham Fo… | 1-0 | Tottenham |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Nottingham Fo… | 1-0 | Tottenham |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Tottenham | 3-1 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | Tottenham | 3-1 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Nottingham Fo… | 0-2 | Tottenham |
| Dec 15, 2023 | Nottingham Fo… | 0-2 | Tottenham |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Tottenham | 3-1 | Nottingham Fo… |
| Nov 09, 2022 | Nottingham Fo… | 2-0 | Tottenham |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
47%
Market
50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Tottenham struggling (4L in last 5)
Nottingham Forest struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.