Premier League · Mar 22, 2026 14:15
Aston Villa
PWR 35
West Ham
PWR 0
Aston Villa
PWR 35
VS
West Ham
PWR 0
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Aston Villa Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense0
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aston Villa
LWLLD
STABLE
West Ham
DWLDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (26.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Aston Villavs
2.30
West HamGoal Probability
Aston Villa
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
West Ham
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Aston Villa+14
Gap#18
West Ham
WR 60% 51 pts
WR 27% 29 pts
Aston Villa
6.0%
| Mar 15 | Aston V… v Manches… | 3-1 |
| Mar 12 | Aston V… v Lille | 0-1 |
| Mar 04 | Aston V… v Chelsea | 1-4 |
| Feb 27 | Aston V… v Wolves | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Aston V… v Leeds | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Aston V… v Newcast… | 1-3 |
| Feb 11 | Aston V… v Brighton | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Aston V… v Bournem… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Aston V… v Brentfo… | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Aston V… v RB Salz… | 3-2 |
West Ham
10.0%
| Mar 14 | West Ham v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | West Ham v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | West Ham v Liverpo… | 5-2 |
| Feb 21 | West Ham v Bournem… | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | West Ham v Manches… | 1-1 |
| Feb 07 | West Ham v Burnley | 0-2 |
| Jan 31 | West Ham v Chelsea | 3-2 |
| Jan 24 | West Ham v Sunderl… | 3-1 |
| Jan 17 | West Ham v Tottenh… | 1-2 |
| Jan 06 | West Ham v Notting… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Dec 14, 2025 | West Ham | 2-3 | Aston Villa |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
91%
Market
50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aston Villa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.