FKF Premier League · Mar 21, 2026 12:00
Mara Sugar
PWR 35
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
APS Bomet
PWR 35
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Mara Sugar to win (80% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
80%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-0 (7%)3-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
36%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Mara Sugar
DWDWD
STABLE
APS Bomet
DLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: FKF Premier League
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Mara Sugarvs
1.18
APS BometGoal Probability
Mara Sugar
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
APS Bomet
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 36% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Mara Sugar+6
Gap#17
APS Bomet
WR 33% 28 pts
WR 27% 19 pts
Mara Sugar
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Mara Su… v Bandari | 0-0 |
| Mar 02 | Mara Su… v Sofapaka | 3-1 |
| Feb 26 | Mara Su… v Bidco U… | 2-2 |
| Feb 22 | Mara Su… v Ulinzi … | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Mara Su… v Homeboyz | 3-3 |
| Jan 24 | Mara Su… v Police | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Mara Su… v Gor Mah… | 3-0 |
| Jan 14 | Mara Su… v Police | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Mara Su… v APS Bom… | 1-1 |
| Dec 22 | Mara Su… v Murang'… | 1-3 |
APS Bomet
4.0%
| Mar 14 | APS Bom… v Bidco U… | 1-1 |
| Mar 02 | APS Bom… v Homeboyz | 2-1 |
| Feb 26 | APS Bom… v Karioba… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | APS Bom… v Police | 0-0 |
| Feb 15 | APS Bom… v Gor Mah… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | APS Bom… v Nairobi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | APS Bom… v Murang'… | 2-1 |
| Jan 24 | APS Bom… v Shabana | 3-3 |
| Jan 17 | APS Bom… v AFC Leo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 10 | APS Bom… v Mara Su… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jan 10, 2026 | APS Bomet | 1-1 | Mara Sugar |
| Jul 13, 2022 | APS Bomet | 1-0 | Mara Sugar |
| Jan 21, 2022 | Mara Sugar | 0-1 | APS Bomet |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
APS Bomet struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.