Eredivisie · Mar 20, 2026 19:00
Heracles
PWR 35
Excelsior
PWR 35
Heracles
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Excelsior
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Heracles to win (58% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
58%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)1-0 (20%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Heracles
LDLLL
STABLE
Excelsior
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Heraclesvs
0.53
ExcelsiorGoal Probability
Heracles
0
51%
1
34%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
Excelsior
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Heracles-3
Gap#15
Excelsior
WR 31% 18 pts
WR 23% 26 pts
Heracles
2.0%
| Mar 15 | Heracles v AZ Alkm… | 4-0 |
| Mar 06 | Heracles v Utrecht | 0-0 |
| Feb 28 | Heracles v PSV Ein… | 1-3 |
| Feb 22 | Heracles v GO Ahea… | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Heracles v NAC Bre… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Heracles v NEC Nij… | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | Heracles v Fortuna… | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Heracles v Bashkim… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Heracles v Rudar | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Heracles v Feyenoo… | 4-2 |
Excelsior
0.0%
| Mar 15 | Excelsi… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Excelsi… v Heerenv… | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Excelsi… v GO Ahea… | 0-1 |
| Feb 20 | Excelsi… v Fortuna… | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-2 |
| Feb 06 | Excelsi… v NAC Bre… | 0-2 |
| Feb 01 | Excelsi… v Ajax | 2-2 |
| Jan 24 | Excelsi… v FC Twen… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Excelsi… v AZ Alkm… | 1-1 |
| Jan 17 | Excelsi… v Telstar | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 08, 2025 | Excelsior | 1-2 | Heracles |
| May 12, 2024 | Excelsior | 4-0 | Heracles |
| May 12, 2024 | Excelsior | 4-0 | Heracles |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Heracles struggling (4L in last 5)
Excelsior struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.