FAW Championship · Mar 20, 2026 19:30
Newport City
PWR 49
PWR 49
2-1
predicted
Treowen Stars
PWR 45
PWR 45
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Newport City to win (79% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
79%
TierMASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
42%
Team Comparison
47Attack63
60Defense37
Goals/G
1.31.8
Conc/G
1.11.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Newport City
LLLDW
DOWN
Treowen Stars
DLDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.70
Newport Cityvs
1.12
Treowen StarsGoal Probability
Newport City
0
7%
1
18%
2
25%
3
22%
4
15%
Treowen Sta…
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)2-1 (7%)0-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% | - |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
League Position
#17
Newport City+14
Gap#31
Treowen Sta…
WR 40% 65 pts
WR 33% 31 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newport City | 43 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 65 |
| Treowen Stars | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 31 |
Newport City
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Newport… v Ynyshir… | 4-0 |
| Mar 09 | Newport… v Trethom… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Newport… v Baglan … | 1-2 |
| Mar 01 | Newport… v Carmart… | 4-4 |
| Feb 20 | Newport… v Llantwi… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | Newport… v Afan Li… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Newport… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 23 | Newport… v Cambria… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Newport… v Caerau … | 1-1 |
| Dec 27 | Newport… v Cwmbran… | 2-2 |
Treowen Stars
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Treowen… v Pontypr… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Treowen… v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Treowen… v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Treowen… v Llantwi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Treowen… v Ynyshir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Treowen… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Treowen… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | Treowen… v Cwmbran… | 1-2 |
| Dec 26 | Treowen… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Treowen… v Newport… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Treowen Stars | 2-0 | Newport City |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Newport City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.