FAW Championship · Mar 20, 2026 19:45
Pontypridd Town
PWR 51
Trethomas Bluebirds
PWR 43
PWR 43
1-1
predicted
Pontypridd Town
PWR 51
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
34%
Team Comparison
52Attack62
42Defense46
Goals/G
1.51.8
Conc/G
1.71.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Trethomas Blue…
LWLLL
STABLE
Pontypridd Town
DLWWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Trethomas Blue…vs
1.59
Pontypridd TownGoal Probability
Trethomas B…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
Pontypridd …
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#21
Trethomas B…-8
Gap#13
Pontypridd …
WR 35% 61 pts
WR 43% 82 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Blu… | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 68 | 76 | 61 |
| Pontypridd To… | 56 | 24 | 10 | 22 | 99 | 86 | 82 |
Trethomas Blue…
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Trethom… v Aberyst… | 3-0 |
| Mar 09 | Trethom… v Newport… | 1-0 |
| Mar 06 | Trethom… v Carmart… | 4-5 |
| Mar 01 | Trethom… v Cambria… | 4-2 |
| Feb 20 | Trethom… v Afan Li… | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Trethom… v Ammanfo… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Trethom… v Cwmbran… | 2-0 |
| Jan 23 | Trethom… v Caerau … | 1-5 |
| Jan 09 | Trethom… v Trefelin | 3-1 |
| Dec 26 | Trethom… v Treowen… | 2-0 |
Pontypridd Town
14.0%
| Mar 14 | Pontypr… v Treowen… | 2-2 |
| Mar 06 | Pontypr… v Llantwi… | 0-4 |
| Feb 21 | Pontypr… v Baglan … | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Pontypr… v Ynyshir… | 1-3 |
| Jan 30 | Pontypr… v Afan Li… | 2-0 |
| Jan 09 | Pontypr… v Ammanfo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 01 | Pontypr… v Cambria… | 1-0 |
| Dec 26 | Pontypr… v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Pontypr… v Colwyn … | 0-3 |
| Dec 05 | Pontypr… v Newport… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Nov 28, 2025 | Pontypridd To… | 2-1 | Trethomas Blu… |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Trethomas Blu… | 4-0 | Pontypridd To… |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pontypridd To… | 2-3 | Trethomas Blu… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pontypridd Town in strong form (3W in last 5)
Trethomas Bluebirds struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.