Liga de Ascenso · Mar 16, 2026 21:00
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
PWR 35
PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.48x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.77x
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS
No 40%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
AD Carmelita
LWLLD
STABLE
Pitbulls Santa…
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga de Ascenso
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
AD Carmelitavs
0.66
Pitbulls Santa…Goal Probability
AD Carmelita
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Pitbulls Sa…
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
3%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (17%)0-2 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)1-2 (9%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
AD Carmelita-5
Gap#3
Pitbulls Sa…
WR 20% 6 pts
WR 50% 17 pts
AD Carmelita
6.0%
| Mar 12 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AD Carm… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | AD Carm… v Deporti… | 6-0 |
| Feb 02 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 1-0 |
Pitbulls Santa…
14.0%
| Mar 13 | Pitbull… v Santa A… | 2-1 |
| Mar 03 | Pitbull… v Aserri … | 0-0 |
| Feb 26 | Pitbull… v Futbol … | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Pitbull… v CS Urug… | 0-2 |
| Feb 19 | Pitbull… v Aserri … | 1-0 |
| Feb 13 | Pitbull… v Cariari… | 4-1 |
| Feb 07 | Pitbull… v Escorpi… | 4-0 |
| Feb 02 | Pitbull… v AD Carm… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Pitbull… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Nov 16 | Pitbull… v Futbol … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 02, 2026 | Pitbulls Sant… | 0-0 | AD Carmelita |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Pitbulls Sant… | 2-0 | AD Carmelita |
| Sep 04, 2025 | AD Carmelita | 2-1 | Pitbulls Sant… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
82%
Standings
40%
Market
46%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.