Primera DivisiĂłn · Mar 15, 2026 18:15
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
FBC Melgar
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Atletico Grau
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 66% home + 22% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
FBC Melgar Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.12x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FBC Melgar
LDLLW
STABLE
Atletico Grau
WLLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
FBC Melgarvs
0.20
Atletico GrauGoal Probability
FBC Melgar
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Atletico Gr…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
FBC Melgar+10
Gap#17
Atletico Gr…
WR 50% 10 pts
WR 0% 5 pts
FBC Melgar
6.0%
| Mar 10 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 3-1 |
| Mar 06 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | FBC Mel… v Cultura… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | FBC Mel… v FC Caja… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FBC Mel… v UCV Moq… | 4-0 |
| Feb 08 | FBC Mel… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Jan 31 | FBC Mel… v Ciencia… | 2-0 |
| Jan 25 | FBC Mel… v Macará | 2-1 |
| Nov 01 | FBC Mel… v Alianza… | 2-2 |
| Oct 26 | FBC Mel… v Sport H… | 2-0 |
Atletico Grau
6.0%
| Mar 06 | Atletic… v FC Caja… | 1-0 |
| Mar 01 | Atletic… v Comerci… | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Atletic… v Sport B… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Atletic… v Sport H… | 0-0 |
| Jan 30 | Atletic… v UTC | 2-0 |
| Nov 19 | Atletic… v Sportin… | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Atletic… v Juan Pa… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | Atletic… v Alianza… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Atletic… v Cusco | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Atletico Grau | 0-0 | FBC Melgar |
| May 18, 2025 | FBC Melgar | 1-1 | Atletico Grau |
| Sep 24, 2024 | FBC Melgar | 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Atletico Grau | 1-2 | FBC Melgar |
| Jul 07, 2023 | FBC Melgar | 3-0 | Atletico Grau |
| Feb 04, 2023 | Atletico Grau | 3-0 | FBC Melgar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | Atletico Grau | 2-1 | FBC Melgar |
| Jun 25, 2022 | FBC Melgar | 1-0 | Atletico Grau |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
80%
Market
68%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FBC Melgar struggling (3L in last 5)
Atletico Grau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.