Ekstraklasa · Mar 16, 2026 18:00
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
Korona Kielce
PWR 35
Pogoń Szczecin
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Korona Kielce
PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pogoń Szczecin Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (17%)0-1 (17%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (13%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (6%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.44x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.97x
Over 2.5
26%
Under 2.5
74%
74%
BTTS
No
No 34%
Over 3.5
7%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pogoń Szczecin
LWWWD
STABLE
Korona Kielce
WLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Pogoń Szczecinvs
0.97
Korona KielceGoal Probability
Pogoń Szcze…
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Korona Kiel…
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (21%)1-0 (17%)0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 46% | 54% | - |
| 2.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Pogoń Szcze…-3
Gap#11
Korona Kiel…
WR 58% 31 pts
WR 33% 33 pts
Pogoń Szczecin
14.0%
| Mar 08 | Pogoń S… v Raków C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Pogoń S… v Gornik … | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Pogoń S… v Arka Gd… | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Pogoń S… v Nieciec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Pogoń S… v Motor L… | 2-1 |
| Jan 18 | Pogoń S… v FK Jabl… | 0-0 |
| Dec 06 | Pogoń S… v Radomia… | 2-2 |
| Dec 02 | Pogoń S… v Widzew … | 0-1 |
| Nov 29 | Pogoń S… v GKS Kat… | 2-0 |
Korona Kielce
8.0%
| Mar 07 | Korona … v Nieciec… | 2-1 |
| Feb 28 | Korona … v Motor L… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Korona … v Lech Po… | 1-2 |
| Feb 13 | Korona … v Radomia… | 0-2 |
| Feb 06 | Korona … v Zaglebi… | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Korona … v Legia W… | 1-2 |
| Jan 14 | Korona … v CSKA So… | 0-2 |
| Dec 08 | Korona … v Wisla P… | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Korona … v Cracovi… | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Korona … v Widzew … | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Sep 13, 2025 | Korona Kielce | 1-0 | Pogoń Szczecin |
| Dec 09, 2024 | Korona Kielce | 0-0 | Pogoń Szczecin |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-0 | Korona Kielce |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Korona Kielce | 2-2 | Pogoń Szczecin |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Pogoń Szczecin | 3-1 | Korona Kielce |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Pogoń Szczecin | 0-0 | Korona Kielce |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Korona Kielce | 1-2 | Pogoń Szczecin |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
52%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Pogoń Szczecin in strong form (3W in last 5)
Korona Kielce struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.