Eerste Divisie · Mar 16, 2026 19:00
Jong AZ
PWR 35
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
Jong AZ
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
MVV Maastricht
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)2-1 (6%)1-0 (4%)3-2 (4%)
WRONG 1-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
67%
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS
Yes 59%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jong AZ
LLLDW
DOWN
MVV Maastricht
WDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Eerste Divisie
Expected Goals (xG)
3.65
Jong AZvs
0.93
MVV MaastrichtGoal Probability
Jong AZ
0
3%
1
10%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
MVV Maastri…
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (5%)5-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Jong AZ-3
Gap#15
MVV Maastri…
WR 13% 30 pts
WR 19% 35 pts
Jong AZ
6.0%
| Mar 13 | Jong AZ v Waalwijk | 2-1 |
| Mar 09 | Jong AZ v Emmen | 2-3 |
| Feb 27 | Jong AZ v Vitesse | 2-0 |
| Feb 23 | Jong AZ v Den Bos… | 2-2 |
| Feb 13 | Jong AZ v FC OSS | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Jong AZ v Dordrec… | 1-2 |
| Jan 30 | Jong AZ v ADO Den… | 1-4 |
| Jan 26 | Jong AZ v Almere … | 3-4 |
| Jan 16 | Jong AZ v VVV Ven… | 1-3 |
| Jan 12 | Jong AZ v Jong Aj… | 1-2 |
MVV Maastricht
8.0%
| Mar 13 | MVV Maa… v VVV Ven… | 2-1 |
| Mar 06 | MVV Maa… v Dordrec… | 1-1 |
| Feb 27 | MVV Maa… v De Graa… | 3-3 |
| Feb 22 | MVV Maa… v Roda | 2-0 |
| Feb 13 | MVV Maa… v ADO Den… | 3-0 |
| Feb 06 | MVV Maa… v Jong PSV | 2-1 |
| Feb 02 | MVV Maa… v Almere … | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | MVV Maa… v FC Eind… | 5-0 |
| Jan 23 | MVV Maa… v Jong Ut… | 2-2 |
| Jan 18 | MVV Maa… v Den Bos… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 21, 2025 | MVV Maastricht | 1-3 | Jong AZ |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Jong AZ | 0-0 | MVV Maastricht |
| May 02, 2025 | MVV Maastricht | 1-0 | Jong AZ |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MVV Maastricht | 0-1 | Jong AZ |
| Dec 02, 2024 | Jong AZ | 2-3 | MVV Maastricht |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Jong AZ | 0-0 | MVV Maastricht |
| May 03, 2024 | Jong AZ | 2-3 | MVV Maastricht |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Jong AZ | 3-0 | MVV Maastricht |
| Dec 01, 2023 | MVV Maastricht | 4-0 | Jong AZ |
| Sep 01, 2023 | MVV Maastricht | 2-1 | Jong AZ |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
44%
Market
50%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Jong AZ struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.