Liga de Ascenso · Mar 12, 2026 20:00
Cariari Pococi
PWR 35
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
Cariari Pococi
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
AD Carmelita
PWR 35
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (7%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (3%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 2-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.2x
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cariari Pococi
DDWLL
STABLE
AD Carmelita
WLLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League has >30% draw rate
High draw league: Liga de Ascenso
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Cariari Pococivs
0.50
AD CarmelitaGoal Probability
Cariari Poc…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
AD Carmelita
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (12%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Cariari Poc…+4
Gap#8
AD Carmelita
WR 50% 12 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
Cariari Pococi
8.0%
| Mar 10 | Cariari… v Santa A… | 1-1 |
| Mar 04 | Cariari… v CS Urug… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Cariari… v Futbol … | 0-1 |
| Feb 13 | Cariari… v Pitbull… | 4-1 |
| Feb 03 | Cariari… v Escorpi… | 1-2 |
| Jan 23 | Cariari… v AD Carm… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Cariari… v Santa A… | 4-1 |
| Dec 20 | Cariari… v AD Cofu… | 1-2 |
| Dec 17 | Cariari… v AD Cofu… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | Cariari… v ADR Jic… | 1-1 |
AD Carmelita
6.0%
| Mar 08 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 2-0 |
| Feb 25 | AD Carm… v Santa A… | 1-2 |
| Feb 19 | AD Carm… v Futbol … | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | AD Carm… v Aserri … | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | AD Carm… v CS Urug… | 0-1 |
| Feb 06 | AD Carm… v Deporti… | 6-0 |
| Feb 02 | AD Carm… v Pitbull… | 0-0 |
| Jan 23 | AD Carm… v Cariari… | 1-1 |
| Jan 19 | AD Carm… v Escorpi… | 1-0 |
| Nov 30 | AD Carm… v Inter S… | 3-2 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jan 23, 2026 | AD Carmelita | 1-1 | Cariari Pococi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | AD Carmelita | 1-1 | Cariari Pococi |
| Oct 01, 2025 | Cariari Pococi | 0-2 | AD Carmelita |
| Sep 24, 2025 | AD Carmelita | 1-1 | Cariari Pococi |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Cariari Pococi | 1-1 | AD Carmelita |
| Mar 07, 2021 | Cariari Pococi | 2-1 | AD Carmelita |
| Jan 23, 2021 | AD Carmelita | 2-1 | Cariari Pococi |
| Oct 18, 2020 | AD Carmelita | 0-1 | Cariari Pococi |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Cariari Pococi | 0-0 | AD Carmelita |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
57%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.