Ligue 1 · Mar 08, 2026 19:45
Lyon
PWR 42
Paris FC
PWR 31
Lyon
PWR 42
1 - 1
FT
Paris FC
PWR 31
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lyon Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
82%
TierELITE
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (17%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
50Attack39
70Defense49
Goals/G
1.71.3
Conc/G
1.01.7
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Lyon
DLLWW
STABLE
Paris FC
WDLDL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy88%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANTPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (30.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Lyonvs
0.44
Paris FCGoal Probability
Lyon
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Paris FC
0
64%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 86% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Lyon+9
Gap#13
Paris FC
WR 75% 47 pts
WR 21% 28 pts
Lyon
10.0%
| Mar 05 | Lyon v Lens | 2-2 |
| Mar 01 | Lyon v Marseil… | 3-2 |
| Feb 22 | Lyon v Strasbo… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | Lyon v Nice | 2-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lyon v Nantes | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Lyon v Laval | 2-0 |
| Feb 01 | Lyon v Lille | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lyon v PAOK | 4-2 |
| Jan 25 | Lyon v Metz | 2-5 |
| Jan 22 | Lyon v BSC You… | 0-1 |
Paris FC
8.0%
| Mar 01 | Paris FC v Nice | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Paris FC v Toulouse | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Paris FC v Lens | 0-5 |
| Feb 08 | Paris FC v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Feb 04 | Paris FC v Lorient | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Paris FC v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Jan 25 | Paris FC v Angers | 0-0 |
| Jan 18 | Paris FC v Nantes | 1-2 |
| Jan 12 | Paris FC v Paris S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 04 | Paris FC v Paris S… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 29, 2025 | Paris FC | 3-3 | Lyon |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Lyon | 2-3 | Paris FC |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Paris FC | 3-1 | Lyon |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Paris FC | 4-1 | Lyon |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.