First League · Mar 17, 2026 16:00
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
Lokomotiv Sofia
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
Septemvri Sofia
PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lokomotiv Sofia Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (22%)1-0 (19%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (4%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.5x
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No
No 16%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Lokomotiv Sofia
DLWLD
STABLE
Septemvri Sofia
LLLWW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 46% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 62% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Lokomotiv Sofiavs
0.20
Septemvri SofiaGoal Probability
Lokomotiv S…
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Septemvri S…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Lokomotiv S…+4
Gap#14
Septemvri S…
WR 23% 31 pts
WR 15% 21 pts
Lokomotiv Sofia
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Lokomot… v Slavia … | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Lokomot… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Mar 05 | Lokomot… v Dobrudz… | 3-1 |
| Mar 01 | Lokomot… v Levski … | 4-3 |
| Feb 13 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Lokomot… v Botev P… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Lokomot… v Ludogor… | 1-3 |
| Jan 31 | Lokomot… v Kolos K… | 0-0 |
| Jan 27 | Lokomot… v Asia Ta… | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lokomot… v Zorya L… | 3-3 |
Septemvri Sofia
8.0%
| Mar 13 | Septemv… v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Mar 07 | Septemv… v Cherno … | 0-3 |
| Mar 03 | Septemv… v Botev P… | 2-0 |
| Feb 28 | Septemv… v CSKA So… | 2-0 |
| Feb 16 | Septemv… v Montana | 1-0 |
| Feb 08 | Septemv… v Dobrudz… | 3-0 |
| Jan 26 | Septemv… v Ordabasy | 1-2 |
| Jan 20 | Septemv… v Neftchi | 0-2 |
| Dec 15 | Septemv… v Ludogor… | 1-3 |
| Dec 07 | Septemv… v Beroe | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Aug 29, 2025 | Septemvri Sof… | 1-0 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| May 20, 2025 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-2 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Dec 08, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-2 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-1 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-1 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-1 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Aug 08, 2022 | Septemvri Sof… | 0-3 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
| Jul 02, 2022 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 2-3 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Mar 06, 2021 | Lokomotiv Sof… | 1-0 | Septemvri Sof… |
| Aug 25, 2020 | Septemvri Sof… | 2-5 | Lokomotiv Sof… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
58%
Market
61%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Septemvri Sofia struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.