Championship · Mar 18, 2026 19:45
Southampton
PWR 36
Norwich City
PWR 33
Southampton
PWR 36
2-1
predicted
Norwich City
PWR 33
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Southampton to win (63% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
63%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)3-0 (10%)0-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.42x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.03x
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 35%
Over 3.5
27%
Team Comparison
43Attack37
59Defense58
Goals/G
1.41.2
Conc/G
1.41.4
Possession
?%?%
Corners/G
??
Shots/G
??
Fouls/G
??
Southampton
WDWWD
STABLE
Norwich City
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 35% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 63% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Southamptonvs
0.53
Norwich CityGoal Probability
Southampton
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4
8%
Norwich City
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)0-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#7
Southampton+5
Gap#12
Norwich City
WR 47% 57 pts
WR 39% 51 pts
Southampton
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Southam… v Coventry | 1-2 |
| Mar 11 | Southam… v West Br… | 1-1 |
| Mar 08 | Southam… v Fulham | 0-1 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Sheffie… | 1-3 |
| Feb 28 | Southam… v Yeovil … | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Southam… v QPR | 5-0 |
| Feb 21 | Southam… v Charlton | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Southam… v Leicest… | 2-1 |
| Feb 10 | Southam… v Leicest… | 3-4 |
| Feb 07 | Southam… v Watford | 1-0 |
Norwich City
16.0%
| Mar 14 | Norwich… v Preston | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Norwich… v Sheffie… | 2-1 |
| Mar 08 | Norwich… v Leeds | 3-0 |
| Feb 28 | Norwich… v Leicest… | 0-2 |
| Feb 25 | Norwich… v Sheffie… | 2-0 |
| Feb 21 | Norwich… v Birming… | 1-2 |
| Feb 14 | Norwich… v West Br… | 3-1 |
| Feb 10 | Norwich… v Oxford … | 0-3 |
| Feb 07 | Norwich… v Blackbu… | 2-0 |
| Jan 31 | Norwich… v Middles… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 13, 2025 | Norwich City | 2-1 | Southampton |
| Aug 26, 2025 | Norwich City | 0-3 | Southampton |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Norwich City | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Jan 01, 2024 | Norwich City | 1-1 | Southampton |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Southampton | 4-4 | Norwich City |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Southampton | 2-0 | Norwich City |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Norwich City | 2-1 | Southampton |
| Jun 19, 2020 | Norwich City | 0-3 | Southampton |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
60%
Market
53%
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Southampton in strong form (3W in last 5)
Norwich City in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.