FAW Championship · Mar 17, 2026 19:30
Treowen Stars
PWR 45
PWR 45
2-1
predicted
Baglan Dragons
PWR 41
PWR 41
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Treowen Stars to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (21%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (8%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.69x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.61x
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
63Attack43
37Defense53
Goals/G
1.81.2
Conc/G
1.81.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Treowen Stars
DLDLD
STABLE
Baglan Dragons
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): FAW Championship
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Treowen Starsvs
0.23
Baglan DragonsGoal Probability
Treowen Sta…
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Baglan Drag…
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (13%)3-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#31
Treowen Sta…-12
Gap#19
Baglan Drag…
WR 33% 31 pts
WR 26% 62 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treowen Stars | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 31 |
| Baglan Dragons | 54 | 14 | 20 | 20 | 66 | 73 | 62 |
Treowen Stars
6.0%
| Mar 14 | Treowen… v Pontypr… | 2-2 |
| Mar 10 | Treowen… v Caerau … | 3-0 |
| Mar 07 | Treowen… v Cambria… | 2-2 |
| Mar 03 | Treowen… v Llantwi… | 3-2 |
| Feb 28 | Treowen… v Ynyshir… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Treowen… v Cardiff… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Treowen… v Aberyst… | 2-1 |
| Jan 02 | Treowen… v Cwmbran… | 1-2 |
| Dec 26 | Treowen… v Trethom… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Treowen… v Newport… | 2-0 |
Baglan Dragons
4.0%
| Mar 14 | Baglan … v Caerau … | 0-5 |
| Mar 06 | Baglan … v Newport… | 1-2 |
| Feb 21 | Baglan … v Pontypr… | 2-0 |
| Feb 17 | Baglan … v Trefelin | 3-0 |
| Feb 14 | Baglan … v Cardiff… | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Baglan … v Aberyst… | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Baglan … v Ynyshir… | 0-0 |
| Jan 03 | Baglan … v Llantwi… | 0-0 |
| Dec 26 | Baglan … v Afan Li… | 3-1 |
| Dec 20 | Baglan … v Trethom… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 24, 2025 | Baglan Dragons | 3-4 | Treowen Stars |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
40%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Baglan Dragons struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.