Ekstraklasa · Mar 17, 2026 18:00
Jagiellonia
PWR 35
GKS Katowice
PWR 35
Jagiellonia
PWR 35
4-1
predicted
GKS Katowice
PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Jagiellonia Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (11%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (6%)3-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.36x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.23x
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Jagiellonia
LLDWD
DOWN
GKS Katowice
WWDWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.2%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Jagielloniavs
0.97
GKS KatowiceGoal Probability
Jagiellonia
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
GKS Katowice
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Jagiellonia+3
Gap#6
GKS Katowice
WR 55% 38 pts
WR 36% 36 pts
Jagiellonia
8.0%
| Mar 14 | Jagiell… v Piast G… | 1-2 |
| Mar 06 | Jagiell… v Lechia … | 3-0 |
| Mar 01 | Jagiell… v Legia W… | 2-2 |
| Feb 26 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 2-4 |
| Feb 22 | Jagiell… v Radomia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 19 | Jagiell… v Fiorent… | 0-3 |
| Feb 14 | Jagiell… v Cracovi… | 0-0 |
| Feb 07 | Jagiell… v Motor L… | 4-1 |
| Jan 31 | Jagiell… v Widzew … | 1-3 |
| Jan 19 | Jagiell… v CSKA 19… | 1-1 |
GKS Katowice
14.0%
| Mar 14 | GKS Kat… v Lechia … | 2-0 |
| Mar 08 | GKS Kat… v Radomia… | 0-1 |
| Mar 03 | GKS Kat… v Widzew … | 1-1 |
| Feb 28 | GKS Kat… v Gornik … | 3-1 |
| Feb 22 | GKS Kat… v Arka Gd… | 2-1 |
| Feb 13 | GKS Kat… v Legia W… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | GKS Kat… v Widzew … | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | GKS Kat… v Zaglebi… | 0-2 |
| Jan 14 | GKS Kat… v FK Jabl… | 3-0 |
| Dec 07 | GKS Kat… v Raków C… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Dec 04, 2025 | GKS Katowice | 3-1 | Jagiellonia |
| Mar 02, 2025 | Jagiellonia | 1-0 | GKS Katowice |
| Aug 25, 2024 | GKS Katowice | 3-1 | Jagiellonia |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
60%
Market
57%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
GKS Katowice in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.